BlueNC @
Wednesday, September 17, 2014 - 8:55am

CAMPAIGN 2014
Hagan holds steady lead in N.C. Senate race (Public Policy Polling) -- Kay Hagan continues to lead by 4 points, with 44% to 40% for Thom Tillis and 5% for Libertarian Sean Haugh. Haugh's impact on the race is waning- since June his support has dropped from 11% now down to this 5% standing. He's also no longer disproportionately drawing supporters away from Tillis- when Haugh's supporters are reallocated to who they would choose between Hagan and Tillis, Hagan continues to hold a 4 point lead at 46/42. Hagan's image is improving some as the election nears.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2014/PPP_Release_NC_9161118.pdf

Heated Battle for Senate Draws Deluge of Outside Group Ads, Dark Money (Wesleyan Media Project) --With prognosticators giving even odds that Republicans will take over the U.S. Senate after this November’s elections, outside groups are taking notice. Almost 52 percent of ads aired in favor of Republican candidates have been sponsored by interest groups, and that figure is 40 percent on the Democratic side. Groups have spent an estimated $97 million on advertising in Senate races this election cycle, which is up from the estimated $78 million spent to this point in the 2012 election cycle. While the volume of Democratic advertising trails the volume of Republican advertising somewhat in races for the Senate, the disparity in the volume of advertising is stark in U.S. House races, where Democrats are being trounced by Republicans. … The race with the highest number of advertisements is in North Carolina, where incumbent Kay Hagen and challenger Thom Tillis face off. Over 44,000 ads, at an estimated cost of $25.2 million, have aired. Remarkably, 80 percent of the ad airings were sponsored by outside groups. It is a pattern that repeats in many of the most competitive Senate races: Interest groups sponsored the majority of the advertising.
https://mediaproject.wesleyan.edu/2014/09/04/heated-battle-for-u-s-senat...

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BlueNC @
Tuesday, September 16, 2014 - 1:42pm

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BlueNC @
Tuesday, September 16, 2014 - 9:08am

CAMPAIGN 2014
Polls show Hagan building a lead over Tillis (Greensboro News & Record) -- Republican challenger Thom Tillis lags behind U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan as their race moves into its final leg, according to two polls released Monday.
http://www.news-record.com/news/polls-show-hagan-building-a-lead-over-ti...

New polls show Hagan widening lead (WRAL-TV) -- Two polls released Monday show Democratic U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan opening up a lead over Republican challenger Thom Tillis.
http://www.wral.com/new-polls-show-hagan-widening-lead/13982381/

NC survey shows Hagan with narrow US Senate lead (AP) -- A survey of North Carolina likely voters shows Democratic U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan holding a narrow lead over Republican challenger Thom Tillis roughly two months from Election Day.
http://www.wral.com/nc-survey-shows-hagan-with-narrow-us-senate-lead/139...

Elon Poll gives Hagan lead, shows gender gap -- Results (Elon Poll) Democratic U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan has opened a four-point lead over her challenger in the November elections, according to the latest Elon University Poll. Hagan leads Thom Tillis, the Republican speaker of North Carolina’s House of Representatives, by a 45-41 margin among likely voters. Nine percent of likely voters said they plan to support another candidate, and 5 percent are undecided on their vote. FULL RESULTS:
http://www.elon.edu/docs/e-web/elonpoll/091514_ElonPollExecutiveReport.pdf

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BlueNC @
Sunday, September 14, 2014 - 10:54am

Ads take up education, contraceptive issues in US Senate race (Raleigh News & Observer) -- It’s rapidly reaching the season when it’s not safe to turn on your television, unless you dig political advertising. Friday was the day for both sides in the U.S. Senate race in North Carolina to launch TV ads. First up was another spot by Carolina Rising, a nonprofit that has begun spending a lot of money on behalf of House Speaker Thom Tillis. The group’s Dallas Woodhouse says the ad buy is $1.3 million and will cover the state.
http://www.newsobserver.com/2014/09/13/4147442/ads-take-up-education-con...

Wos: DHHS will build stability before expanding Medicaid (Winston-Salem Journal) -- “Soon.” The state’s health secretary, Aldona Wos, gave that one-word answer – filled with possibilities and ambiguities – when asked when she would recommend expanding the state Medicaid program to Gov. Pat McCrory.
http://www.journalnow.com/business/business_news/local/wos-dhhs-will-bui...

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BlueNC @
Saturday, September 13, 2014 - 10:43am

CAMPAIGN 2014
Poll shows Hagan pulling ahead of Tillis (Greensboro News & Record) -- Sen. Kay Hagan pulling ahead of N.C. House Speaker Thom Tillis in the tight N.C. Senate race.
http://www.news-record.com/news/poll-shows-hagan-pulling-ahead-of-tillis...

Christie to Campaign with Tillis in Wilmington on Tuesday (TWCN-TV) -- New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie will attend a rally and a private event in Wilmington on Tuesday to support U.S. Senate candidate Thom Tillis.
http://centralnc.twcnews.com/content/news/all_nc_news/711794/christie-to...

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BlueNC @
Friday, September 12, 2014 - 10:27am

CAMPIGN 2014
NC Senate candidates largely back more airstrikes (AP) — Democratic U.S. Sen. Kay Hagan and her Republican challenger Thom Tillis largely support the plan President Barack Obama outlined to expand military airstrikes and help forces fight the Islamic State militant group.
http://www.news-record.com/news/north_carolina_ap/nc-senate-candidates-l...

Big Swing In N C. Improves Democrats . (FiveThirtyEight) -- Republican chances of winning back the Senate fell below 60 percent Thursday, dropping about 4 percentage points to 58.2 percent, thanks to several good polls for Democrats in North Carolina and Colorado. Republicans are still favored to pick up six seats they don’t hold currently, and that would still lead to a GOP-controlled Senate. But Republicans are left with little room for error, and the race in Kansas becomes even more crucial. In North Carolina, a Rasmussen Reports poll found Democrat Kay Hagan ahead of Republican Thom Tillis 45 percent to 39 percent. Tillis had led in the previous Rasmussen survey by 5 percentage points. Another North Carolina poll released Thursday, bySurveyUSA, gave Hagan a 3-point lead (46 percent to 43 percent). The two polls together moved Hagan from a 45 percent underdog to a 61 percent percent favorite. With Hagan now leading, theFiveThirtyEight model does not project a single state in which President Obama won in either 2008 or 2012 to switch from Democratic to Republican control.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/senate-update-a-big-swing-in-north-ca...

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BlueNC @
Thursday, September 11, 2014 - 9:05am

Watchdog group says election changes harming voters (WRAL-TV) -- With the voter registration deadline for the November elections one month away, voting watchdog group Democracy North Carolina says it's already found hundreds of cases in which last year's changes to state election laws prevented voters from casting ballots.
http://www.wral.com/watchdog-group-says-election-changes-harming-voters/...

454 NC voters had ballots rejected in May primary, advocacy group says (Raleigh News & Observer) -- Democracy North Carolina's review of State Board of Election records from the May primary found 454 ballots were rejected because of election law changes enacted by the General Assembly in 2013.
http://www.newsobserver.com/2014/09/10/4139800/454-people-had-ballots-re...

PRESIDENTIAL ADDRESS; 9-11 REMEMBERED
NC pols agree on Islamic State threat, not timing (McClatchy Newspapers) -- Republican Senate candidate Thom Tillis and incumbent Sen. Kay Hagan on Wednesday agreed with President Barack Obama that the Islamic State poses a grave threat to the United States, but Tillis harshly criticized the president and Hagan for not acting sooner. Hagan, a Democrat from Greensboro who is in a close race with Tillis, stressed the threat from the Islamic State, also called ISIS or ISIL, and said that “their murder of two American journalists is an attack on America and our values.” “We must respond, and we will respond, by taking immediate, sustained and decisive action,” Hagan said. She added that she started to press the administration to arm moderate Syrian rebels last spring, “and I am glad that effort will be accelerated. “The president and our military leadership have now developed a plan to train and equip moderate Syrian rebels and defeat ISIS with a sustained campaign of airstrikes,” Hagan said, adding the effort must be carried out with allies and other Arab states and not by the United States alone. Tillis said the Islamic State was “growing stronger each day because of President Obama’s failed foreign policy and lack of leadership.”
http://www.newsobserver.com/2014/09/10/4140427/nc-politicians-agree-on-t...

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BlueNC @
Tuesday, September 9, 2014 - 8:36am

Tillis’ over-the-counter birth control plan wouldn’t increase access (Carolina Mercury) -- When House Speaker Thom Tillis was asked during last week’s U.S. Senate debate whether or not he agreed with the Supreme Court’s recent Hobby Lobby decision, the Speaker had a neatly packaged response ready. According to the Republican candidate, Hobby Lobby, which said that corporations with religious beliefs can deny employees contraceptive coverage, was not about birth control, but about religious freedom. On the supposedly unrelated topic of birth control, however, Tillis was quick to note that he supports broadening access to contraception
http://www.carolinamercury.com/2014/09/tillis-over-the-counter-birth-con...

CAMPAIGN 2014
More confusion among GOP leadership on teacher pay after McCrory letter gives yet another ‘average’ increase number (WRAL-TV) -- When Gov. Pat McCrory wrote to welcome teachers back to the classroom, he touted a "substantial" pay raise that amounted to "an average pay increase of 5.5 percent for teachers." That might have been exciting news, except that for more than a month legislative leaders have been touting a 7 percent average pay raise. House Speaker Thom Tillis trumpets that 7 percent figures as "simple math" in a recent campaign ad for his U.S. Senate campaign. For educators like Michelle Pettey, a first-grade teacher at Wake County's Brier Creek Elementary School, that "simple math" doesn't add up; 5.5 percent doesn't equal 7 percent and neither number matches the smaller-than-expected pay bump that showed up in her first paycheck of the year. "No teacher can figure out what happened," said Pettey, a teacher with 16 years in the classroom who said her actual raise worked out to be something like 1.39 percent. Josh Ellis, a spokesman for Gov. McCrory, said the difference between the 5.5 percent number and the 7 percent number is a difference in accounting.
http://www.wral.com/pay-raise-claims-confuse-frustrate-teachers/13961974/

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BlueNC @
Monday, September 8, 2014 - 7:05am

CAMPAIGN 2014
Tillis dismisses 'mansplaining' charges (Politico) -- Thom Tillis, the Republican running for a North Carolina Senate seat that could well decide the majority in the Senate, has been pilloried since last week’s debate by Democrats who see him as a condescending “man-splainer” who played into gender stereotypes. But in his first comments on the controversy, the Republican state House speaker was unrepentant in a sit-down interview on the campaign trail, chalking up the firestorm to Democrats playing gender politics to boost Sen. Kay Hagan.“It’s just silly,” he said during a lunch stop this weekend with supporters over barbecue, fried oysters and chicken livers. “We’re talking about the future of the greatest nation on the earth, and this is what we’re going to?”

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