Civitas polling inaccurate, intentionally bent

Direct from the horse's er...mouth:

“If I had to do it over, I probably wouldn’t have released this poll because it allows people … to try to taint all of our polls. If you do as many polls as we do, some of them are going to be bad...I will acknowledge that we ask questions with a bent on our monthly polling,” he says. “We’re trying to find out when politicians frame things in certain ways how they will be perceived by the general public.”

Translated: "When an elected Democrat makes a statement that can be taken out of context and twisted into sounding like something bad, we take advantage of that and put it in front of 600 people at a pop."

While De Luca stands by the overall accuracy of Civitas polls, Fitzsimon argues that even flawed surveys can influence an election.

“Poll results can actually influence the race by galvanizing supporters or discouraging a candidate’s base,” he wrote in response to the flash poll.

“They can take on a life of their own by shaping the conventional wisdom that becomes the dominant media narrative in a race.

“They can affect campaign contributions, as many people want to curry favor with a clear front-runner.”

They can also influence actual policy decisions, which is why Civitas does continual monthly polling even during non-election years. Elected officials always keep one eye focused on trends in public opinion, and they know if they try to do something that goes against that, they may pay the price when the next election rolls around. So Civitas is tasked with giving them a warm fuzzy by asking "bent" questions on whatever bad idea is bubbling to the surface each month.

Comments

Poor Civitas records from over a year ago

Blast from the past:

http://www.bluenc.com/polling-civitas-vs-reality

Just how bad were Civitas polls in the 2010 elections? This post documents a few wildly-missed races.

 

Francis De Luca

Here's a guy who wears his Marine Corps service like a badge of honor on his sleeve ... a colonel no less. Turns out he's just another piece of political trash, doing Art Pope's dirty work without the slightest concern for honor and integrity.

Stomach turning.

Francis has a varied background that includes owning a small business, political consulting and working at all levels of government. He served on active and reserve duty for 28 years with the United States Marine Corps where he retired with the rank of Colonel. He is a Naval Aviator and flew combat missions in the first Persian Gulf War and was deployed to the Middle East in 2003 as part of Operation Iraqi Freedom. Francis has an undergraduate degree in Political Science from the University of North Carolina – Wilmington, and a Master’s Degree in Political Science from the University of West Florida.

A once honorable man, whose salary has been paid by taxpayers for his entire career, now dedicated to full-time deception. How sad.