Finally, some data to back up all the arm-waving, coat tugging and jumping up and down that we in the Carter campaign have been doing since the primary! Brother Tom Jensen from the PPP interprets this week's Democracy Corps poll:
The closest Congressional district in the state is the 5th, where Virginia Foxx leads Roy Carter 48-46. I really hope the DCCC and other folks take the pick up opportunity in this district seriously. There are races on the Red to Blue list that based on the data I've seen are less winnable than this one.
The PPP's own poll showed a ten point spread (51-41) back in July. But now, at the start of the true fall campaign, with multiple daily events across the district, introductory ads on TV and an increasingly attentive media, people are beginning to understand that there's somebody running against Virginia Foxx in the 5th district. His name is Roy Carter, a fiery mountain populist with a long record of service to 5th district families and their children. This guy could win!
Sometimes it takes the word a while to get to Washington, especially when it's coming from a largely rural, inaccurately studied district like NC-05, which the party structure has habitually forsaken since redistricting. But listen up: ROY CARTER IS WINNING THIS RACE DOWN HERE. And he'll continue to win this race until Virginia Foxx opens up her war chest and starts running those crappy $150,000 TV ads in steady rotation on Fox News here in the district.
SHE CAN BE STOPPED FOR VERY LITTLE MONEY. All that's standing between North Carolina and an easy Democratic pick-up in the Congress is this continued reticence on the part of the Democratic leadership--at both the state and national levels--to look at the true dynamics of the race:
-Soft support for Virginia Foxx among republican and unaffiliated voters indicated by low approval ratings for her and the current administration.
-increased consciousness of the economic realities in the district and a desire for change.
-A compelling Democratic challenger who is overseeing an energized, creative, dynamic campaign.
Democratic Purse String Holders: This race offers the most affordable new Democratic Congressional seat in the entire country.
If we lose it this year, it will be far more expensive to win in 2010.
Nancy Pelosi and Chris Van Hollen: THIS LINK IS FOR YOU GUYS.