According to Public Policy Polling the mood has shifted dramatically in North Carolina. In their latest poll, respondents favor Republicans across the board in generic match-ups. They are favored when polling for both federal and state offices.
There are two key reasons for the early Republican lean: independents are leaning toward them and they're more unified than the Democrats are. For Congress independents prefer Republicans 37-21 and for the legislature it's 34-23. 90% of Republicans but only 76% of Democrats plan to support their party in Congressional races and for the legislature those figures are 89% and 77%.
These high levels of Republican unity are becoming a constant in our polling across the country as the party's voters seem to realize they'll all have to be on the same page to avoid repeats of the disastrous 2006 and 2008 election cycles.
There is plenty of time for voter opinions to change, but we shouldn't ignore these numbers and we shouldn't passively sit and wait to see what happens. We need to protect our majorities in Congress and in the General Assembly, where members will be redrawing districts after 2010.
What do you think we can do to protect our margins in the House and the North Carolina General Assembly?