For Your Viewing Pleasure

Rasmussen Reports
North Carolina Senate Election
Survey of 500 Likely Voters
May 8, 2008

Dole
47%

Hagan
48%

Discuss.

More numbers on our race available here.

Comments

Those numbers look like something we can work with!

It's not surprising that Dizzy's unfavorable's are higher than Kay's. Kay has an excellent record on children issues in the NC Senate, and for that alone I can support her candidacy. (Yeah, believe it or not, that's my one issue if I've got one.)

Compare it to Elizabeth Dole's abysmal record on children's issues in the US Senate, and it's a no brainer. For children's advocate's, Kay Hagan is the only choice. I'll work on those numbers this week.

Be the change you wish to see in the world. --Gandhi
Pointing at Naked Emperors

Whoa.

That is some serious good news.

____________________________________

We are not amused.

new poll

"Whoa."

Exact quote that came out of my mouth too.

Surprising to me

I just can't see that kind of change occurring in one month. Their poll in April was 52-39 for Dole. If Public Policy Polling's release this week is similar, then i'll believe it a little more.

Perhaps not so surprising

Hagan has been in the news and on people's television a fair bit lately. Plus she has the aura of "winner".

Dole is, well ... , Dole.

The game is afoot.

Person County Democrats

Validation

Good point. It would be nice to see the results reproduced by PPP or SUSA.

woohoo!!!

::::gets up and dances around a little::::

That's enough to fuel yer Democratic jets, idn't it?

Thanks, Gordon!!!

"It is amazing what you can accomplish if you do not care who gets the credit." - Harry Truman

"They took all the trees and put them in a tree museum Then they charged the people a dollar 'n a half just to see 'em. Don't it always seem to go that you don't know what you've got till it's gone? They paved paradise and put up a parking lot."

It's still about turnout

If Democratic turnout is up by 3% or more, it becomes much easier to win all of the down-ticket races. In the meantime, Hagan has to continue to increase her name recognition. And it wouldn't hurt to bring down Dole's approval ratings some. I wonder how negative the campaign will get?

Dole's record is negative enough

All Hagan has to do is articulate that clearly, and she won't have to go "negative".

Be the change you wish to see in the world. --Gandhi
Pointing at Naked Emperors

Hagan seems to be able to get the cash....

so she only has to remind the voters of Dole's Bush-alike record. Another thing would be to have Dole questions like "Will she support an Iran invasion?". What type medical plan does she favor? How would she feel if Blackwater expands their NC facilities? Anything that would provoke some intellectual answer from her very creative mind. Duh!

and Dole has to answer for her record

Considering that McCain is being referred to as "McSame", Dole is in even a worse predicament because she's a giant rubber stamp of Bush's policies from top to bottom. The more we can get Senator Dole on camera trying to defend her record the better. I'm sure at the top of the priority list in her campaign is to control the settings and venues she's in -- more floats on parades, less town halls with TV cameras rolling.

As long as the numbers remain tight, Dole's camp is in a pickle because they wanted to run the clock out and keep most of the voters ignorant of what her record of neglect really amounts to.

--
Pam Spaulding
Durham, NC USA

Pam's House Blend
www.pamshouseblend.com

--
Pam Spaulding
Durham, NC USA

Pam's House Blend
www.pamshouseblend.com

And no advertising against her.

Be the change you wish to see in the world. --Gandhi
Pointing at Naked Emperors

See...this is where she messed up.......

After all those face lifts she won't get the sympathy she might have if it looked like the ads against Liddy were picking on a little old lady.

Robin Hayes lied. Nobody died, but thousands of folks lost their jobs.



***************************
Vote Democratic, the ass you save may be your own.

that's right, no negative ads

That's what we were told by "Dole" with this laugher:

...the Dole campaign extends an offer to enter into a written agreement with the North Carolina Democratic Party, your national counterpart committees in Washington, as well as the eventual Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate to disallow political party advertising in North Carolina. This will prevent the circumstances that you have described from happening in the contest for U.S. Senate.

--
Pam Spaulding
Durham, NC USA

Pam's House Blend
www.pamshouseblend.com

--
Pam Spaulding
Durham, NC USA

Pam's House Blend
www.pamshouseblend.com

Name recognition, name recognition, name recognition

Until the primary, no one outside of Greensboro had heard of Kay Hagan aside from a few state politics wonks. Everyone's heard of Dole. Even if they don't know anything about Liddy, they know about Bob. I don't know why simply knowing that someone exists makes people more likely to vote for them, but it's an obstacle that challengers have to overcome.

Early on in the primary, before Hagan started to run TV ads, she was tied with Neal. Once she started running ads, her numbers exploded, leading to the primary trouncing.

Now that people are hearing more about her, they become more likely to vote for her. The earlier polls were basically "unknown Dem vs. Dole" polls. Hagan is now recognizable. It's going to be a tough race, absolutely, but it's 2008 and it's a winnable race.

Sending a Democratic Candidate to the US Senate from NC

considering that she has been an albatross around the necks of North Carolina citizens, who rightly should be represented by SOMEONE from North Carolina would be fantastic.

Sending Liddy Dole back to Kansas or D.C. or wherever the hell she comes from? Priceless!!

North Carolina. Turning the South Blue!

North Carolina. Turning the South Blue!

No internals yet

But it's interesting to see that their favorable ratings are almost tied.

This is certainly good news,

This is certainly good news, but bear in mind this is Hagan's natural "bump" from winning the primary. She's in the news and Dole isn't. Not trying to dampen the excitement, just adding a little perspective.

I agree with some of the previous poster's, though, that high turnout will all but guarantee that Dole is a one term senator, and that is good news.

you're right.

i think this survey is a big deal because it suggests Kay has a chance. This is going to be an extremely tough race because the money Liddy has and will continue to raise. And her name ID. I'm not giving the particular numbers in the poll(47/48) too much credence. They will continue to fluctuate. But i think it tells us Hagan has a decent chance of beating Dole.

Poor, dear Liddy has been in the news recently,

for turning tail and running when time came to confront the Republican race smear ad.
Y'all made a lot of persuasive points, but "too busy" to talk about the race-baiting ad seems to my feeble mind to have been Liddy's most memorable newspaper/radio/television moment of late. And it was unignorable.
Willingness to hide from a fight isn't something we North Carolinians look for in a leader, is it?
Of course everyone here can attest that Liddy didn't just hide once. She wouldn't even show her face or accept the petition Pam politely hand-carried to her office.
In fact, she's still hiding, and giving Kay Hagan & friends the opportunity to begin seriously redefining whatever image she had before turning tail to run.
Or so I feebly apprehend.