General Election polling results

Public Policy Polling of Raleigh: Oct. 16

PPP's newest North Carolina poll finds Pat McCrory's lead in the Governor's race holding steady. He's at 47% to 37% for Walter Dalton with Libertarian Barbara Howe at 5%. Those numbers are exactly identical to what they were two weeks ago.

McCrory continues to be the most popular politician in the state, with a 47/31 favorability rating. Those numbers are far better than the sitting Governor or either Senator has. McCrory leads by a greater than 2:1 margin among independents, 52-25. He's also taking 18% of the Democratic vote from Dalton while losing just 7% of Republicans.

Incumbents in the other Council of State races appear to be favored for reelection right now, although some of those contests are pretty close. Auditor Beth Wood leads Republican challenger Debra Goldman 40-36 and Treasurer Janet Cowell leads her GOP foe Steve Royal 41-36. Republican Agriculture Commissioner Steve Troxler looks like a shoo in for reelection with 45% to 35% for Democratic challenger Walter Smith...

Read the quite long and detailed report on these and other questions polled at http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/mccrory-continues-to-lea...
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On the local level in Wake County, Cary's legislative leader, Republican Rep. Nelson Dollar, is in a competitive race with newcomer Lisa Baker. The News and Observer reports today a PPP poll that shows Baker trailing Dollar by 4 points, about the same as the margin of error--quite a surprising result from a poll taken a couple of weeks ago. The Democratic Party leaders could not find someone to challenge the incumbent, so Baker filed at the last minute, and she was not expected to have much of a chance to win.

Comments

Our best hope

Dalton has a challenging road ahead. I hope he can win, but I see much more promising polls for Linda Coleman. Every poll has had her essentially tied (2 slightly up, 2 slightly down, all within the margin). Our best hope to keep a progressive voice in a visible place in front of the General Assembly and the media is to support Linda Coleman for Lt. Governor by donating before this weekend's final reporting deadline.

And our best chance to have any real power as a check and balance against a very conservative government is by shifting the balance of the NC Supreme Court by supporting Sam Ervin.

Coleman

I also think Coleman has a more solid on the ground campaign. And SEANC seems to be running a lot of ads for her too. A pic I saw on a friends facebook feed from Asheville today: