Isaac Hunter Kicks Butt



If you're not reading Laura Leslie's blog at WUNC-FM, you should be. It's the sharpest coverage of statewide politics coming out of the Capital Press Corpse by a wide margin. Her report on Friday of the Four Horsemen in the Replicant race for governor is a work of art. I've chosen the "cons" for highlights here, but the whole thing is worth the read.

Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory:
Cons: The ability to work with Democrats is great in the general election, but it may do more harm than good with the GOP base. If this gubernatorial primary is anything like the last two, the Republicans who show up will be a lot more interested in conservative credentials than bipartisan appeal. And about that transfer tax . . .

State Senator Fred Smith:
Cons: The roundtable format is not his forte. He’s much better at orating behind a podium than at engaging his opponents eye-to-eye. He came off as overeager, angry, even truculent, as he went after McCrory and Graham time after time. On the other hand, you can’t fault him for his fightin’ mood, given the polls that showed him losing ground to McCrory before the latter even entered the race.

Former state Supreme Court Justice Bob Orr:
Cons: As far as his own message goes, it wasn’t his best night. Got lost in the shuffle, and within his own answers, too, sometimes, lacking specifics on how he'd implement his long-term ideas. And with McCrory’s entry, he’s no longer the only positive candidate. In fact, he may have a lot in common with McCrory, especially in terms of policy, which could make it tough for Orr to hold onto the small niche he's managed to carve out for himself.

Salisbury attorney/gas-tax activist Bill Graham:
Cons: Pretty much disappeared in the shadow of the drama between McCrory and Smith. Probably didn’t pick up much new support, thanks to his negativity. If life in NC was that bad, we wouldn’t need the new roads he wants to build, because everyone would be moving away, not in. Then there was his solution to drought: not conservation or policy changes, but consumer “watermaking technology” that’s “been available for several years.” (For a minute there, I thought I was watching Dune. Or maybe Living with Ed. ) . . . Rob Christensen says he won. I’m not sure I understand why.



My prediction: It'll come down to McCrory and Smith, with the Asphalt King pulling it out when the hard-core conservatives turn out in spades for the uninspiring contest.

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Graham

I don't understand Rob Christensen's enthusiasm for Bill Graham's performance either. Something weird about that conclusion, especially in light of that "water-making" claim. Laura's comment about Dune is hilarious.

Dan Besse's picture

Which new technology?

What new "watermaking" technology was Bill Graham talking about, and where did he learn of it?

Stillsuits? (Dune)

Interdimensional portals to an alternate universe? (Discworld)

Buckets of water flung by tornado-traveling Kansans?
(Wizard of Oz)

Hmmmm....

Dan Besse
Democrat for Lieutenant Governor
www.danbesse2008.org

MaxTheDog2's picture

Dancing with Wolves and Billy Graham

What new "watermaking" technology was Bill Graham talking about, and where did he learn of it?* Puzzle Lt Gov candiate along with millions of North Carolina voters

No doubt candiate Graham has discover 21 st century techology and has put it to work by hiring the Cherokee Indian Nation for his campaign, along with Snoopy and the Red Barron to drop icecubes supply by the Motel 6 ice machines.

One Republican candiate who remains unname said candiate Graham was pissing into the wind and thinking it was rain...

Political Rap dancing in the 21st Century

Once upon a time, shamans danced to bring the rains. Now we send pilots into the clouds, bearing a sacrifice of silver iodide.

Okay, so there's a bit more science to cloud seeding than rain dancing. But despite being around for decades, the mainstream scientific community's still skeptical.

Why? In part because it's so difficult to do rigorous, double-blind, case-controlled studies on something so variable and long-term and poorly understood as the weather itself.

While researching the possibility of using cloud seeding in the drought-stricken southeast, I ended up talking to Joe Golden, a researcher who'd actually seeded clouds in Florida. He told me about the experiment, run by Bill Woodley in the late 1970's, designed to confirm an earlier experiment that suggested cloud seeding success.

Over the course of an entire season, pilots took to the skies at every sign of rainclouds; they wouldn't know until they delivered their load whether it was silver iodide or sand. But one of the placebo days also happened to fall on a day of widespread torrential downpours. It swamped the experiment. Take that day out, said Golden, and the cloud seeding was a success; keep it, and it's not clear whether it worked.

Golden thought the result was encouraging; the scientific community didn't. And that's the thing about weather seeding: the split between mainstream scientists and the people who are doing it. The field has grown in the skies, but not the academy. There are community- and state-sponsored cloud seeding projects in Arizona, California, Nevada, Utah, New Mexico, Colorado, Wyoming, North Dakota and Texas. But they're not in a position to do research, at least not to rigorous academic standards: they're in business, after all. The pilots can't afford to donate their time, and their clients don't want to waste potential rainfall on a double-blind experiment.

But there's enough out there -- biological research, observational research -- to suggest that cloud seeding really does work. There's also new cloud-seeding agents that allow ice crystals -- the baby phase of raindrops -- to form at a wider range of temperatures than before, meaning more types of clouds can be seeded more types of clouds. And countries like China aren't spending a hundred million dollars on weather modification for the sheer pleasure of it.

Sometimes rain dances work.

John Hood's take on the Four Horsemen

Is a little less interesting, but still worth the read.

For McCrory, the electability argument is a valuable one. He’s correct in believing that the Charlotte Curse is an overblown, simplistic invention of the chattering classes. He recognizes that Republican frustration with feckless gubernatorial campaigns runs deep.

Smith is correct, however, in his assessment of where most Republican voters are on most state issues. I suspect that McCrory doesn’t quite appreciate how difficult it’s going to be to sell his past advocacy of tax increases and corporate giveaways to a mostly conservative primary electorate. Nor have his mayoral campaigns truly prepared him to cultivate the social conservatives who play a key role in GOP primaries.

Graham is correct in seeing that many voters are disenchanted with Raleigh – not just with Jim Black or other individual crooks, but more generally with a political system that seems disconnected to new voters and new, emerging issues.

And Orr is correct that these disenchanted voters aren’t necessarily looking for someone who will bash the establishment and storm the battlements, but instead for a competent, reassuring problem-solver who will put the general interest of the general public ahead of the special interests who seek special favors and handouts.

Poor Fred Smith. Hood had a whole paragraph to talk about the Asphalt King and had nothing good to say.

James

PS Note that Hood's column is extremely short in the "con" department, unlike Laura's excellent and balanced assessment. Can't wait until his column tomorrow to see how he handles Perdue and Moore.

Mr. Orr protests

He wonders why I didn't include the "pros" from Laura Leslie's original post, and pointed me to his own discussion of the debate, which you can find here. Check it out. He does have a way with words.

Based on our internal polling we smoked the opposition. OK, I understand that it's a real internal poll - family, campaign workers and friends - but the consensus was that we clearly showed the viewing public that I would be the best governor. I thought Fred - and who the heck is looking at his hair coloring - seems to me to be hitting the wall somewhat after a three year marathon of BBQ's, meet and greets, and other quasi campaign activities. Now that's not to say that Fred won't give his little extra effort down the home stretch, but I don't think he's having much fun.

My reply to Bob:

There’s new link to your blog in a comment I just made.

At this point, fairness to Republican candidates isn’t very high on my list of things to worry about. Your party has driven our nation over a cliff and we are in a literal free-fall. Under Democratic control, NC is doing as well or better than most states, despite significant lapses of integrity and judgment related to business interests. Republican control of our state government could very well trigger the same disastrous and divisive outcomes we’re seeing at the federal level.

Blue South's picture

hilarious

I wont vote for him, but this is awesome:

And finally, it's obvious the only way to get a headline out of these debates is to get in to the Randy Parton fight.

"Keep the Faith"

Wrong debate

Sorry folks, I linked to the wrong debate on Bob's blog. Here's his take on the WRAL debate.

Robert P.'s picture

Orr is on my blog-reader. Mostly I find his posts...

to be articulate and full of wonderings about why the press doesn't cover him. Sound familiar.

One of the pitfalls of childhood is that one doesn't have to understand something to feel it. - Carlos Ruiz Zafon

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And Helms begat Reagan...


Arguably, Ronald Reagan's Helms enabled win in the 1976 NC primary was all the encouragement he needed to try again in 1980, setting the stage for the Reagan Revolution and synergistic escapades like this one...

TrueMeckDem on Myers Park Pat

"My opinion of Pat has changed over the years. I used to think he was truly a man of the people but the longer he has been mayor, the less I think of him.

As with most cities, Charlotte has three political parties: Dem, Rep, and Chamber of Commerce. Pat is definitely the puppet of the COC here. What is good for business is good for Charlotte and Pat ... very personable guy, he has gotten a bunch of Dems in these parts to vote for him but I don't trust him."

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