Predictions Open Thread

I'm not usually big on predictions but here goes:

Obama +10 in NC
Clinton +5 in IN

Perdue +9
Hagan +16
Runoff b/w Dellinger and Dalton
- Dalton 35
- Dellinger 32
- Besse 18
- Smathers 15
Wood +22
Anderson +2
Goodwin +30
Young +3
Atkinson +7

Buncombe County Commission:
Democrats:
- Peterson
- Bailey
- Jones
- Bothwell
Republicans
- Carroll
- Dunn
- Fryar
- Yelton

For the two judicial seats in my district: Wynn and Ruth

I've put about the only signs for Democratic candidates out in much of Union County. Almost every precinct is loaded with Republican signs and Democratic voters. Go figure.

Robin Hayes lied. Nobody died, but thousands of folks lost their jobs.

We don't have anyone showing up at the polls. We might have record Democratic turnout, but since most precincts have a majority of Republican voters the fact that the Republicans have simply stayed home today makes some of the polls seem dead. We're also on country time. Folks trickle in all day with few lines at the polls. I kept hearing unaffiliated voters asking for Democratic ballots as we were standing in the very short line to vote this morning. I'm sure this evening will be busier. I'm about to head back out. Here are my predictions.....

Obama + 12

Hagan +15 I think Mecklenburg County (BPC endorsement) will help Neal beat all predictions by the polling firms

Perdue +9

Dalton - no runoff

Anderson and Donnan in runoff

Goodwin

Cowell

Wood

Atkinson

Ruth and Wynn

This isn't how I want a few of these to turn out, but this is how I think it will turn out. I'm hoping all of Anderson's endorsements pull it out for her. We'll know soon enough.

Obama +6 NC
Clinton +8 IN

Perdue +10
Hagan +12

Nostradumbass strikes again!

;-)

North Carolina. Turning the South Blue!

(Before I start, it is important to note that my wife and I don't really talk politics at home, especially when our son is awake.)

I flipped to the news right at six. Of course, it was about the primary.

My son, who is not quite three, said, "They said Obama."

I said, "yes they did."

He said, "What's the other one's name?"

I replied, "Hillary Clinton."

He replied, "Clinton not win. Obama win."

I said, "are you sure?"

He replied very firmly, "Yes, Obama win, not Clinton."

There you have it.

closed. I am so pissed - The polls closed at 7:30, and by 7:35, we were in the car on our way home, tuning in CNN - AND THEY HAD CALLED THE PRIMARY. Freakin' CNN. Freakin' MSNBC.

Be the change you wish to see in the world. --Gandhi
Pointing at Naked Emperors