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Predictions Open Thread
Submitted by Gordon Smith on Tue, 05/06/2008 - 11:38am.
You've seen the polls. You've read the blogs. You know the skinny about the crux of the biscuit. Use this thread to lay it all on the line and predict the winners from top to bottom. Whoever gets the most right wins a cookie.
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Buncombe
I'm not usually big on predictions but here goes:
Obama +10 in NC
Clinton +5 in IN
Perdue +9
Hagan +16
Runoff b/w Dellinger and Dalton
- Dalton 35
- Dellinger 32
- Besse 18
- Smathers 15
Wood +22
Anderson +2
Goodwin +30
Young +3
Atkinson +7
Buncombe County Commission:
Democrats:
- Peterson
- Bailey
- Jones
- Bothwell
Republicans
- Carroll
- Dunn
- Fryar
- Yelton
For the two judicial seats in my district: Wynn and Ruth
I'm going into left field
Obama +1 in NC
Clinton +9 in IN
Correction.
Robert P. has left the ballpark. ;) At least I hope so.
"It is amazing what you can accomplish if you do not care who gets the credit." - Harry Truman
Based on personal communications with a dozen family members...
I think Obama has lost the white, rural vote that he had managed to pick up. I guess it depends how many of those people now just stay home instead of voting against him. I don't think they are crazy about Hillary.
I always get these wrong
On Super Tuesday I called almost every single state wrong. I'd have done better if I flipped a coin.
- - - - -
White rural Republicans are staying home
I've put about the only signs for Democratic candidates out in much of Union County. Almost every precinct is loaded with Republican signs and Democratic voters. Go figure.
Robin Hayes lied. Nobody died, but thousands of folks lost their jobs.
Skewed view from this Republican County
We don't have anyone showing up at the polls. We might have record Democratic turnout, but since most precincts have a majority of Republican voters the fact that the Republicans have simply stayed home today makes some of the polls seem dead. We're also on country time. Folks trickle in all day with few lines at the polls. I kept hearing unaffiliated voters asking for Democratic ballots as we were standing in the very short line to vote this morning. I'm sure this evening will be busier. I'm about to head back out. Here are my predictions.....
Obama + 12
Hagan +15 I think Mecklenburg County (BPC endorsement) will help Neal beat all predictions by the polling firms
Perdue +9
Dalton - no runoff
Anderson and Donnan in runoff
Goodwin
Cowell
Wood
Atkinson
Ruth and Wynn
This isn't how I want a few of these to turn out, but this is how I think it will turn out. I'm hoping all of Anderson's endorsements pull it out for her. We'll know soon enough.
Ok, here goes.
Obama +6 NC
Clinton +8 IN
Perdue +10
Hagan +12
Nostradumbass strikes again!
;-)
North Carolina. Turning the South Blue!
Out of the mouths of babes...
(Before I start, it is important to note that my wife and I don't really talk politics at home, especially when our son is awake.)
I flipped to the news right at six. Of course, it was about the primary.
My son, who is not quite three, said, "They said Obama."
I said, "yes they did."
He said, "What's the other one's name?"
I replied, "Hillary Clinton."
He replied, "Clinton not win. Obama win."
I said, "are you sure?"
He replied very firmly, "Yes, Obama win, not Clinton."
There you have it.
Cute
n/t
I was at the precinct from the time it opened to the time it
closed. I am so pissed - The polls closed at 7:30, and by 7:35, we were in the car on our way home, tuning in CNN - AND THEY HAD CALLED THE PRIMARY. Freakin' CNN. Freakin' MSNBC.
Be the change you wish to see in the world. --Gandhi
Pointing at Naked Emperors