The rising tide: Who will lead?
An important conversation took place tonight at the NC Botanical Gardens in Chapel Hill. Good people coming together to do good work to preserve one of the world’s most cherished resources: North Carolina’s 5000 miles of beach front and estuarine shoreline.
In case you haven't been paying attention, the coast of North Carolina is a big deal. According to Stanley Riggs, the international expert in coastal management in the Geology Department at ECU, roughly $2.25 billion in direct dollars related coastal tourism flow into our state every year. That money - and our beaches themselves - are at risk.
Why? Because the sea level is rising. Riggs says that by 2025, if not sooner, we will have a tourist industry that’s swirling down the toilet because of stranded houses, septic tanks, demolished roads, gas leaks, and worse ... the result of storms and hurricanes that are absolutely certain to hit our shores. Twenty thousand years ago, the North Carolina shoreline was 60 miles out to sea. The level has risen 140 feet in that time. It's getting higher ... and we're seeing the impacts every day.
Right now, more than 120 miles of beachfront are angling for sand nourishment. More than 300 sand-bagged buildings are already in the ocean. Because of past nourishment activities and the misguided use of terminal groins, there’s no more sand out there for naturally nourishing the beach. We're in a tail-spin, and every action we take to fight the ocean makes things worse.
Most of the outer banks disappeared around a thousand years ago. They will disappear again. The only questions are how much money we will spend and how much environmental damage we will do in the meantime?
Senator Basnight, for all his environmental credentials, has flip-flopped on the issue, pressured by wealthy constituents to change his tune and support another terminal groin "experiment." The legislation he is backing is tantamount to a war against the ocean, built on lies just as George Bush's war in Iraq was built on lies. Bush used falsified intelligence to persuade Congress to go along with his imperialist venture. Basnight's legislation uses falsified science to make terminal groins seem harmless and useful. They are not. Terminal groins do not perform as advertised. Their down-coast unintended consequences should be fought with every weapon available to those who value North Carolina's environment and public beaches.
Fortunately, Speaker Hackney appears to oppose the legislation, which has been referred to at least three House committees. We can only hope it never sees the light of day.
In the meantime, the budget crisis presents a unique opportunity for North Carolina to get its act together. But who will lead? Perhaps Governor Perdue will step up and fulfill her promise as an environmental governor. For starters, it won't cost a thing. She could simply follow Governor Hunt's example and convene a Coastal Futures Task Force to take a comprehensive look at how the natural beaches of North Carolina can be preserved for future generations. Getting the right group of scientists, economists, property owners, insurers, etc., would be a welcome break from the ad hoc approaches that we've seen again and again in recent years. We can't count on Joe Hackney to stop terminal groins forever.
Governor? No one else is taking this problem seriously. Maybe it's time for you to do just that. Because you can be sure of one thing: We're going to have hurricanes on your watch ... and someone is going to have to make decisions about how we respond in the aftermath. Will those decisions be ineffective band-aids ... or will they be forward-looking solutions informed by reality?
What we are currently doing on the coast is insane. Highway maintenance at Pea Island alone has cost more than $10 million over the past 20 years. And that's just a drop in the bucket compared to what we're looking at with increase storm activity and rising sea levels.
Coastal Federation
Audubon NC
NC Conservation Network
Sierra Club NC
Southern Environmental Law Center
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Every action has an equal and opposite reaction
Terminal groins will cause an unwanted reaction because Mother Nature is far more powerful than anything we can put in her way. Multiply the unwanted reaction times the power of a Cat 5 hurricane see what newly shaped land masses we're left with.
Progressive Democrats of North Carolina
Let's face it James, our leadership at ALL levels
has the collective forethought of a Mayfly. What they worry about is how to keep pleasing their big financial contributors so they can be re-elected and stay buried snout deep in the public trough.
We have condos here that have huge sandbags buried on the beach to protect the buildings from rising waters. The sand bags are against the law and the owners received federal funds to relocate their condos to a safer but sill scenic location. The bags are still there (against he law) and no one will take action. The folks at Figure 8 island (private retreat of the ultra wealthy) made a deal with the local government to relocate an inlet so that their beaches wouldn't erode (as nature does it) and said they'd pay to keep things functioning in the future. Recently, they asked for taxpayers to chip in. Bwahaaahaaa....
And now, all the terminal groin stuff. It's a mess.
Another example of the foresight here...the local transportation board is running a survey about transportation needs in the year 2035. Unfortunately they continue to assume that gasoline powered transport will still not only exist but also be as predominant as it is today. How does one arrive at reasonable answers/solutions when the questions are rooted in stagnant thinking?
If you took the brains of all the people in the legislature and put them in a thimble, they'd still rattle around. I think we're doomed.
Stan Bozarth
Amen
That pretty much sums up my view of things after three years of paying super-close attention to the sausage-making that passes for deliberation in Raleigh and Washington. As a species, we've pretty much proven that we don't have the brains god gave an animal cracker.
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The State Bar is not an ordinary plaintiff.
Coastal Conversation
Thanks for the excellent summary. To continue the conversation held last night, the organizations involved have put together coastalconversation.com, which is intended as a public repository of all info on science-based coastal management in NC.
There, folks are encouraged to answer the question: What’s your vision for what North Carolina needs to do to keep its beaches open and natural for the future?
NC Sierra Club
I'll add that to our blog roll
I expect to have it back up soon.
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I'm baaaaaaack
Geology 10
"Rocks for Jocks" at UNC. Is where I learned what jetties do-in five minutes during one class. It is amazing how money clouds a pretty simple and fairly intuitive issue.
Thanks for posting this
Thanks for posting this James. It was great to meet you last evening. I personally thought the discussion was excellent and I hope that our legislators try to lead with some foresight and generate a true vision for our coast.
Nice to meet you too
... and thanks for coming out of the lurker closet!
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The State Bar is not an ordinary plaintiff.
I'm glad to join the
I'm glad to join the conversation. =)
Great diary, James
Protecting our entire coastal area from rising sea levels, storm surges, and just plain old everyday wave action is an incredibly complex proposition. It very well may end up that our choices are between "doing nothing" and "doing the wrong thing", but the only way we'll know for sure is to let science guide us, and not money.