The Big Lie

Last year, North Carolina was named the 6th most popular spot for tourism in the United States.

That's important to the nearly 200,000 working folks across our 100 counties employed by the North Carolina tourism industry, but it's just as important to the millions of Americans who spend billions here to enjoy the best of everything, from mountains, to cities to our one of a kind outerbanks and pristine coastline.

George Bush and Robin Hayes want to change all that to line their own pockets on the way out of office with the Big Lie that energy independence requires giving the oil industry more corporate welfare and even more access to our fragile resources, like North Carolina's outer banks.

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Not my outerbanks!

As the Associated Press has reported on the Bush-Cheney "solution" to 8 years of Bush-Cheney energy policy failure, it's simply more of yesterday's Bush-Cheney energy thinking.

Democratic congressional leaders remain strongly opposed to lifting the drilling moratorium, arguing that oil companies already hold leases to 40 million acres of federal waters that they have not moved to develop.

"One way you deal with this problem of supply ... is to force oil companies and gas companies that own permits to drill them," said Illinois Rep. Rahm Emanuel, a senior member of the Democratic leadership.

...Energy experts and oil geologists acknowledge it would take five to 10 years for any oil or natural gas to be produced if the ban were ended today.

Big Oil has 40 million acres of federal waters to explore. They aren't getting North Carolina's fragile outerbanks. But is it any wonder that Robin Hayes wants to give it to them with up to $23 million invested in Big Oil and $175,000 in campaign contributions from the industry?

Robin Hayes wants to expand the oil industry's monopoly and stranglehold on our economy. That's yesterday's thinking. It's time to end the corporate welfare for Big Oil and finally invest in some real research to solve this problem, not pass it on to our children. We can do this, but it's going to take nothing short of a Manhattan Project level of commitment to a comprehensive energy policy that lowers prices at the pump by injecting competition in the market and creating green collar jobs right here at home.

North Carolina is now the front line in the war on yesterday's thinking when it comes to energy policy, and the 8th District is one battle we can win. Simply put, Robin Hayes can not be allowed to continue two more years in Congress representing the interests of Bush-Cheney and Big Oil over us.

We're an extermely poor District, which is the only reason Robin Hayes has gotten away with his bad votes in a predominantly Democratic district for so long. I'm counting on everyone to help chip in and not let Big Oil buy this seat yet again.

As we proved together in 2006, holding Hayes to a 330 vote margin of victory, it won't take all the money in the world to make our case and win, but it will take just enough. Today is the end of the quarter. Please help put Robin Hayes and Big Oil on notice.

Not my outerbanks!

Comments

"Made in North Carolina"

Like our one of a kind outerbanks, our new Kissell for Congress T-shirts are proudly made in North Carolina They are available on this special page only. It is more than a T-shirt. It is a tribute to our past and a hope for our future. Get yours today with a donation of $25 or more and every donation made online before the end of the quarter at midnight tonight will be matched by a North Carolina donor ready to Take Our Country Back. Join us.
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Together, we can do a lot of good on the way to Congress.

Larry Kissell
Democratic Candidate for Congress
North Carolina's 8th District

Someone Working...For a Change

Larry Kissell
Democratic Candidate for Congress
North Carolina's 8th District

Someone Working...For a Change

I'll buy one Larry.

I haven't given to you this cycle, I guess that is the danger of being funded by the DCCC. And, even though you aren't the same netroots candidate you once were (oh, how I miss those days when you used to pop in for a comment or two during study-halls), I know you're still the same guy, just in a much more competitive race. This time, with the resources to win!

Jesus Swept ticked me off. Too short. I loved the characters and then POOF it was over.
-me

Money's tight, but giving feels right.

Larry Kissell (NC-08) $25.00
ActBlue Federal Tips $1.25
Total $26.25

Jesus Swept ticked me off. Too short. I loved the characters and then POOF it was over.
-me

We are the low-hanging fruit.

After giving, I read this blog post from Seth Godin. I thought it made a good point that related to Larry's fundraising here on BlueNC.

Imagine that half the cars in the US get 10 miles per gallon. And half get 40 miles per gallon. Further stipulate that all cars are driven the same number of miles per year.

Now, you get one wish. You can give every low-mileage car a new set of spark plugs that will increase fuel efficiency by 5 mpg, up to 15. Or you can replace every 40 mpg car with a car that gets 75 mpg, an increase of 35 miles for every gallon driven.

Which is better?

It turns out that the 5 mpg increase is far better for overall mileage than the 35 mpg increase, even though it's smaller both as a percentage and absolutely. That's because the 10 mpg hogs use up so much gas. They're the low-hanging fruit, not just easy to fix, but worth fixing.

As marketers, we're tempted to tweak the already tweaked, to turn the 100 to 101, to optimize for the peak performances. That long tail is very long, though, and if there's a way you can raise the floor (instead of just focusing on the ceiling) you may be surprised to discover that it can have a huge impact.

Simple example: It's way more profitable to encourage each of your existing customers to spend $3 than it is to get a stranger to spend $300.

Jesus Swept ticked me off. Too short. I loved the characters and then POOF it was over.
-me

Thanks for the link, Robert

I enjoyed that.

Robin Hayes lied. Nobody died, but thousands of folks lost their jobs.



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Vote Democratic, the ass you save may be your own.

I hope some of the fruits here....

will see the value in giving to Larry's campaign. We can't take anything for granted in North Carolina.

Jesus Swept ticked me off. Too short. I loved the characters and then POOF it was over.
-me

Just heard the story behind this on NPR.

They made the good point that gallons of gas/10,000 miles (average yearly driving) should be on all new car stickers.

10mpg = 1000 gallons of gas = $4000/year
20mpg = 500 gallons of gas = $2000/year
50mpg = 200 gallons of gas = $800/year

That's a $1200 savings per year.

Jesus Swept ticked me off. Too short. I loved the characters and then POOF it was over.
-me

Help me take this fight nationwide

Please recommend cross post. The outerbanks belong to all Americans.

Larry Kissell
Democratic Candidate for Congress
North Carolina's 8th District

Someone Working...For a Change

Thanks BlueNC!

You're the best!

Larry Kissell
Democratic Candidate for Congress
North Carolina's 8th District

Someone Working...For a Change

Front paged

in honor of McCrory's press conference planned for today on this very topic.

Thanks, Larry.

I just donated my shirt!

You can email asking that your free shirt be given to a 9th district door-knocker. Good idea.

Jesus Swept ticked me off. Too short. I loved the characters and then POOF it was over.
-me

For the birds

Here's a little hint. If tourists can't afford the gas, tourists aren't going to the Outer Banks.

But that would be fine with some people because much of the Outer Banks is now for the birds. Literally.

Island Free Press - Beach Access Issues

Three areas closed along Outer Banks

Battle rages over nesting shorebirds

The National Park Service reported this week that 11 miles of the 66-mile national seashore are closed to pedestrians and vehicles for bird activity, and another 6 1/2 miles are essentially inaccessible. Last year, the service closed about 10 miles of shore at the peak of bird nesting. This year the closures have come earlier, are broader and include the most popular areas. About 24 miles of beach remain open to vehicles and pedestrians.

There's one huge hit on your tourism.

As long as we're at it

Obama's dry hole

"I want you to think about this," Barack Obama said in Las Vegas last week. "The oil companies have already been given 68 million acres of federal land, both onshore and offshore, to drill. They're allowed to drill it, and yet they haven't touched it – 68 million acres that have the potential to nearly double America's total oil production."

Wow, how come the oil companies didn't think of that?

Perhaps because the notion is obviously false – at least to anyone who knows how oil and gas exploration actually works. Predictably, however, Mr. Obama's claim is also the mantra of Nancy Pelosi, Barbara Boxer, John Kerry, Nick Rahall and others writing Congressional energy policy. As a public service, here's a remedial education.

Democrats are in a vise this summer, pinned on one side by voter anger over $4 gas and on the other by their ideological opposition to carbon-based energy – so, as always, the political first resort is to blame Big Oil. The allegation is that oil companies are "stockpiling" leases on federal lands to drive up gas prices. At least liberals are finally acknowledging the significance of supply and demand.

To deflect the GOP effort to relax the offshore-drilling ban – and thus boost supply while demand will remain strong – Democrats also say that most of the current leases are "nonproducing." The idea comes from a "special report" prepared by the Democratic staff of the House Resources Committee, chaired by Mr. Rahall. "If we extrapolate from today's production rates on federal lands and waters," the authors write, the oil companies could "nearly double total U.S. oil production" (their emphasis).

In other words, these whiz kids assume that every acre of every lease holds the same amount of oil and gas. Yet the existence of a lease does not guarantee that the geology holds recoverable resources. Brian Kennedy of the Institute for Energy Research quips that, using the same extrapolation, the 9.4 billion acres of the currently nonproducing moon should yield 654 million barrels of oil per day.

[snip]

Likewise, in April, the U.S. Geological Survey revised its estimate for the Bakken Shale, underneath the badlands of North Dakota and Montana. The new assessment – as much as 4.3 billion barrels of oil – is a 25-fold increase over what the Survey believed in 1995 [LB bold]. Such breakthroughs confirm that very large reserves exist, if only Congress would let business get at them.

All of which has Democrats sweating bullets. The leadership is desperate to avoid debating a Department of Interior spending bill, because they know Republicans will offer amendments lifting the drilling moratorium that may peel off some Democrats. Last week, Chairman David Obey shut down the Appropriations Committee rather than countenance more domestic energy production. Given Democratic energy illiteracy, this is a fight the GOP can win if it keeps up the pressure.

So much for the "all the oil's been found so why keep looking" mantra.

On one hand....

You say that Democrats are wrong for thinking that the federal land leases won't produce, then you say that the non-federal land in North Dakota and Montana suddenly have 25-fold more oil based on Bush USGS estimates.

Maybe you are right, but is there any academic data suggesting that either point is actually true?

Jesus Swept ticked me off. Too short. I loved the characters and then POOF it was over.
-me

The point is

You got it backwards. The Dems are saying that the lands under lease must be made to produce before we look anywhere else. Which presumes there is actual oil under lease that is known about and could be produced if the oil companies wanted to. Which might or might not be turn out to be the case. The reason that they are non producing is that no one knows whether there is actual oil there or not because even the areas under lease haven't been fully explored. Even if they have been partially explored years ago and some oil is known to be there (i.e. Bakken Shale), the actual amount known to be there can grow dramatically as they are explored in more detail.

Most of the coastal lands are a total blank slate having never been explored in detail at all. There may be oil there far more worth retrieving than in the areas currently under lease. Until we look we won't know. The Dems are afraid that there is oil in the unexplored areas and that people will want to retrieve it.

That's silly

I can't speak for Dems, not being one, but I can say that I'm very certain there's oil all over the Atlantic coastline. Not afraid at all. And I'm also very certain that many people already want to "retrieve" it - though the word I'd use is "exploit" - no matter what the environment or social cost.

We've already fought one goddamn war so Exxon, Shell, etc., could get their greedy hands on oil fields in Iraq, a war for which we're currently spending $12 billion a month. So you'll forgive me if I assume the Big Oil could give a shit about what's good for anybody besides themselves and their pocketbooks.

Reality

In 1982, the earliest year for which the Energy Information Administration has data, there were 301 operable refineries in the U.S., and they produced about 17.9 million barrels of oil per day. Today there are only 149 refineries, but they're producing 17.4 million barrels – less than in 1982, but more than any year since then. The increase in efficiency is impressive, but it's not enough to meet demand: U.S. oil consumption is 20.7 million barrels per day.

FactCheck.org

How does drilling for new crude oil, a process that would take a few years to produce a drop by the way, help us provide for our nation's needs? And since drilling for new crude oil is not a short term fix for high gas prices, wouldnt it make more sense to find a long term solution that is logical, instead of something that is barely even a stop gap.

"Keep the Faith"

"Keep the Faith"