Why I'm Afraid of Rick Santorum

About a month ago I saw a tweet from my favorite polling firm that really caught my eye, 

It was one in a series of polls that would be released in the coming weeks that predicted what we are seeing now, that Santorum, in large part because of his personal favorability, can mount a serious challenge to the inevitable nominee, Mitt Romney. 

Santorum's problem is that he's quiet. Despite having a lengthy list of outrageous and neanderthal-like quotes, they are delivered by a humble, seemingly well-meaning and devout Catholic. Not a rhetorical flame thrower like most of the former "front runners".  Somehow I can't picture a guy in a sweater vest doing this.  
Don't mess with Texas 

So even though Santorum's culture warrior credentials are untouchable and he has appeal with blue collar workers (a.k.a. he's never been photographed with $100 bills popping out of his suit) no one could hear him say it. Not with Newt lambasting the liberal media and Cain offering us all a pretty good deal on 3 large pizzas (not to mention the entourage of "other women" those guys came with). 

But now things are more quiet, Romney's Death Star has twice crushed a Gingrich rise and the grassroots are moving toward Santorum. He's won four states and seems well positioned to deliver a humiliating defeat to Romney in his home state of Michigan. 

But, so what? Chances are (and have always been) Romney will outlast Santorum and become the nominee. And even if Santorum wins, that's the best case scenario for the Democrats, right? Certainly Markos of Daily Kos thinks so,

I see it differently. I think if we lose Mitt Romney as the Republican nominee, we lose something else, the legacy of #occupy and what should be, in my opinion, the defining issue of the next generation, Economic Inequality. 

We were seeing the emergence of a perfect storm. The #occupy protests, President Obama's Osawatomie, KS speech and the perfect enemy, Mitt Romney. No possible Republican candidate (outside of Donald Trump) better epitomizes the increasingly unequal society we live in than Romney. His tax rate, his off-shore/Swiss bank accounts and the kind of capitalism Bain engages in will all work against him in the general election. Economic inequality can be an issue that Democrats nationwide use in years to come, it can become a defense of Government, a call to invest in the basic infrastructure and services that allow business to flourish and produce an educated society. 

As we see the end of an organized #occupy movement (a movement I was not a part of and at times critical of), those of us working in progressive and Democratic politics must play the long game. We can use #occupy as a catalyst of a much longer conversation about how we prioritize government and what we want to invest in. I want 2012 to be the beginning of that. In the White House we have a reluctant populist, but one who seems to finally be embracing the ideas his base has long pushed for. We have candidates like Elizabeth Warren, who gives the best defense of Government I have heard. She speaks forcefully about our shared responsibilities and the need to give back, for the next kid with a great idea. 

But if Santorum is the nominee that's not the narrative we'll have this election. It becomes something more garbled, competing conservative and liberal visions of populism with an unfortunate return of the culture wars. Obama still probably wins, probably by a bigger margin. I tend to agree that Santorum's social positions make him too extreme, just like Pennsylvanians found in 2006. So Obama will be President for four more years but we'll have missed an opportunity. 

That's why I'm afraid of Rick Santorum. Not because I'm worried he'll be President, or that he'll strengthen Romney for the general but because of the opportunity we have. If we make this election about inequality, about investing in roads and schools, about rebuilding and revitalizing America and preparing her for the 21st century, I believe we stand to win a lot more than an election. 

Comments

Great analysis

Agree almost completely.

My only point of contention is that I think Santorum is a more serious competitor than Romney, certainly in North Carolina.

Romney is a Mormon. Southern evangelicals will not vote for him. Santorum thinks he is Jesus Christ himself, and will pull all such like-minded crazies out to vote.

Definitely an argument to be made there

I do think Santorum has strengths that Romney doesn't for the general. The South and working class families in the Midwest are much more likely to support Santorum than Romney. Santorum would probably pick up a few indy votes in the rust belt that Romney's finances will alienate. In the South Romney's Mormonism could drive down evangelical turnout, especially in contrast to how Santorum would perform there.

Ultimately though I think Santorum's social views scare off far more indys than his sweater vests win over and that Romney's Mormonism isn't that big of a factor (I actually think it's his previous flip flopping on social issues that gives him the most problems with evangelicals)

That said the polls do show Santorum and Romney polling about even in battleground states.

I agree with you.

Santorum is crazy....in my opinion. But there are a lot of crazies out there. Romney is the guy I'd like to see win the nomination for the reason you mentioned. Let's make it a real battle.

Stan Bozarth

Thanks for the read

I appreciate it. Exactly - let's have a battle of ideas because we know our side will win.