"John Edwards is a devastatingly effective VP"

EDWARDS WINS ON THE ROAD....SurveyUSA has been putting out an interesting series of Obama-McCain polls where they test possible VP choices. In some ways, the polls were badly done -- what's the point of asking people if they prefer Obama-Sebelius to McCain-Pawlenty in Virginia, where nobody knows who Sebelius or Pawlenty are? It might've been better to test, say, Mark Warner there. (You wanted Jim Webb? He's a good Senator and all, but you really need to read Kathy Geier on this.)

The one thing that the polls do show, though, is that John Edwards is a devastatingly effective VP choice for Obama. He performs equal or better than the other Democrats in their home states and helps Obama beat McCain's VP picks in their home states.

Take Pennsylvania, where Ed Rendell is a popular governor. But against any Republican pairing, an Obama/Edwards ticket does better than Obama/Rendell by 3 to 5 points, and leaves every other pairing far behind. There's no reason to consider Rendell for VP against numbers like this -- John Edwards can beat him in the state he's supposed to secure.

Or take Kansas, where Kathleen Sebelius is popular. An Obama/Edwards ticket does better than Obama/Sebelius against two opponents, while Obama/Sebelius does better than Obama/Edwards against two. There still is good reason to consider Sebelius, in part because her history of converting Republicans would reinforce Obama's message of national unity (which I find annoying, but whatever). But it's pretty impressive that Edwards is neck-and-neck with her on her home turf.

Now some will accuse me of beating the drums on this one, but let's face it, it is not going to be HRC, and the next most popular democratic candidate nationally and especially in red state blue collar states where Obama needs a boost, is John Edwards- heck he even got 7% in West Virginia.

He basically tied Wes Clark in Oklahoma in 2004 (whom I think the Clintons talked into running to blunt John Edwards appeal) and he can pull in more southern voters in states like Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, and Mississippi.

As Mudcat Saunders said:

The Reagan Democrats want to come home, they are just dying to come home," he said. "All we just got to get a tent big enough to let them in."

Indeed, with Obama pulling in 95% of the Black vote in the south, and Edwards adding the white working class Reagan democrats, we could bring back into the fold the south, whom Lyndon Johnson knew the Democrats would lose for a generation with the voting rights act.
Well that generation has come today.
Obama-Edwards 2008

Comments

tips?


"What's the use of a fine house if you haven't got a tolerable planet to put it on?"

Henry David Thoreau

praer.org

The best argument for Edwards

The best argument for Edwards is simply a history of how the Kerry campaign used him. In 04 he spent a large chunk of the campaign in small towns throughout the "rust belt". Partially that was due to the Kerry campaign being afraid of him upstaging Kerry. But, it also means that Edwards is an incredibly strong choice to win over the areas that Obama lost to Clinton and must fight for to beat McCain.

"Keep the Faith"

"Keep the Faith"

agreed, and Webb is a poor choice to do that

because of his anti-female comments, which will alienate even further the HRC supporters.


"What's the use of a fine house if you haven't got a tolerable planet to put it on?"

Henry David Thoreau

praer.org

CNN says...

The former presidential candidate, who was the 2004 Democratic vice presidential nominee, continued to flatly maintain has no interest in the job. Traveling in Spain Friday, Edwards told two separate newspapers it’s not a role he is willing to take again.

"I already had the privilege of running for vice president in 2004, and I won't do it again," Edwards told El Mundo newspaper. He also made similar comments to El Pais.

If I were Obama

or if Obama comes to his senses and chooses me as his vice-president, I would encourage President Obama to put John Edwards in as Attorney General. We need a no bullshit AG who understands the constitution and civil rights. John Edwards does just that. I believe that's where he belongs - if he's not going to be in the White House.

Be the change you wish to see in the world. --Gandhi
Pointing at Naked Emperors

If I were Obama

or if Obama comes to his senses and chooses me as his vice-president, I would encourage President Obama to put John Edwards in as Attorney General. We need a no bullshit AG who understands the constitution and civil rights. John Edwards does just that. I believe that's where he belongs - if he's not going to be in the White House.

Be the change you wish to see in the world. --Gandhi
Pointing at Naked Emperors

North Carolina?

He basically tied Wes Clark in Oklahoma in 2004 (whom I think the Clintons talked into running to blunt John Edwards appeal) and he can pull in more southern voters in states like Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia, and Mississippi.

He didn't help much last time, but maybe it was because lots of people, including me, couldn't stomach voting for Kerry. We'll see.