Well, I'll Be Damned

We yelled, screamed, commented on their posts, emailed, wrote our own blog posts, called, flailed our arms about, then yelled and screamed some more. We still failed to get their attention until the very last minute.

Chris Cillizza of the Washington Post gives his first look at the top ten most vulnerable House races for 2008. We might need to go leave comments on his blog post at WaPo, but it won't be to yell or scream.

According to Cillizza in his typical Friday "The Line" post:

North Carolina's 8th District (R): For several cycles, Democrats spent hundreds of thousands of dollars trying to unseat Rep. Robin Hayes (R). Who would have thought that Larry Kissell (D), who was almost entirely ignored by national Democrats, would come within 329 votes of ousting the incumbent? Kissell conceded the race to Hayes earlier this week but immediately announced that he will run again in 2008. While Kissell will surely have more money this time around (he raised $450,000 for the 2006 race), Hayes will also be paying much closer attention. The central North Carolina district has a Republican lean; Bush won here by nine points in 2004.

While I've posted his entire commentary on the race we will all be working to win, he has 9 others listed. Please go visit, read and leave him some love in the comments. I don't always agree with Cillizza, but he needs to know when he gets it right.

Comments

Boom. Boom. Boom.

Hey Flipper!

You should have quit while you were ahead. Now you'll have two whole years of relentless scrutiny. You think you caught a bunch of crap for your CAFTA stunt? You ain't seen nothing yet.

As a back-bencher in the basement, no one anywhere is going to care what you say about anything. Except us. We're going to care and we're going to be watching. There aren't enough naming opportunities for post offices left in the world to bail you out of this one, Mr. Hayes.

A

PS This would be a good time to buy some cheap real estate and get that retirement home built.

Why the Republicans will lose if the Democrats are smart

Did you see this logic? Bush won here by nine points in 2004.

As long as Democrats believe that the 2004 election identifies where they can win and where they will lose, we are condemned to being a minority party. Fortunately that changed this year. I'm glad that the chattering classes have not come around to this opinion. That means that we can still surprise Republicans, who continue to believe this nonsense. It's nice when your opponents believe their own untruthful propaganda.

50 states, 210 media market, 435 Congressional Districts, 3080 counties, 192,480 precincts

50 states, 210 media market, 435 Congressional Districts, 3080 counties, 192,480 precincts

I swear blogs are getting so much better...

... at disseminating the news. My wife and I will be watching CNN or MSNBC and see a story and she will go, "oh yeah, that was three days ago."

So it doesn't surprise me when they are slow on the uptake to recognize a story for what it is. If this hadn't been the case, we would never have gone to Iraq. IMO.

--
Town Called Dobson - Daily Political Cartoon: Not all is red in rural America!

Run as Democrats.

I think the way to win in the South is to run as an unapolgetic New Dealer. Talk about how our country is in the worst shape since the Great Depression. Poverty, homelessness, health care, job security, wages, credit. Run on changing those issues with a new, New Deal.

Priorities

  • Fix our broken credit system.
  • Create a living wage.
  • Health Care as a Right, not a privilege.
  • Child Survival Program.
  • Trading service for an education.
  • CountryCrats - my thoughts, my blog.

    Jesus Swept ticked me off. Too short. I loved the characters and then POOF it was over.
    -me

    I admit I'm giddy

    I emailed and commented at Hotline and Chris Cillizza's blog. I emailed Chuck Todd and Stu Rothenberg without getting even so much as a response. I simply wanted them to take a look at Larry's Race.

    Hotline did feature one of my stories at Blog-o-meter about Larry's early poll numbers and why this race was different, but that was the extent of it. I think we broke the top 50/60 once or twice at NJ's rankings.

    When you start out being recognized as an A-list, candidate from the get-go by at least one respected pundit, it can help with the fundraising and it can help bring you to the attention of all the national polling groups. This race will be polled early and often, so we need to keep that drum beating loudly and help keep Larry's name out in front of the voters.



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    Vote Democratic! The ass you save may be your own.

    That's it, isn't it?

    We have to be named a top tier race from the very beginning or else we'll never break through.

    What an outrageous and bizarre system!

    Larry Kissell is MY Congressman

    Oh No! Larry proved that ignored candidates can break through

    This will just make it a lot easier to raise money and get continued attention by the pols and the pundits.

    Nothing will replace the magic of this last campaign, but being well-funded will come close.

    Robin Hayes lied. Nobody died, but thousands of folks lost their jobs.



    ***************************
    Vote Democratic! The ass you save may be your own.

    What I mean is...

    some talking head has to pick you from the beginning or else the other talking heads ignore you forever.

    It's like some weird HS click. The cool kids determine who the cool kids are. So dumb.

    Larry Kissell is MY Congressman

    Yeah, that part stinks

    Which means that next cycle we get to work to bring attention to Roger Sharpe (please, Roger?) and Richard Carsner (he hasn't ruled out a run) since Larry will already be one of the "cool kids".

    Robin Hayes lied. Nobody died, but thousands of folks lost their jobs.



    ***************************
    Vote Democratic! The ass you save may be your own.

    Let's not forget the legislature.

    chances are that after so many years of moving Dem, the "feel" of the state will be to move back towards center. That's just how movements work, ask the GOP.

    CountryCrats - my thoughts, my blog.

    Jesus Swept ticked me off. Too short. I loved the characters and then POOF it was over.
    -me

    Top Tier Race and Local Momentum

    Being a top tier race at the beginning means that someone in some leadership owes you something. Being a top tier race at the end means that you developed sufficient local momentum to bring you close to winning based on your GOTV. Given that, I would much rather participate in a race that forces the leadership to recognize what local people are saying instead of one that is stage-managed from above.

    50 states, 210 media market, 435 Congressional Districts, 3080 counties, 192,480 precincts

    50 states, 210 media market, 435 Congressional Districts, 3080 counties, 192,480 precincts

    Done.

    Get out there and comment peeps! There's nothing like getting off to a hot start for building momentum.