Todd's blog

An Upset Bid Democrats Won’t Ignore This Time

Voters in the mostly working-class precincts of south-central North Carolina that connect Charlotte and Fayetteville were faced with a study in opposites in their candidates for Congress last year. The Democratic challenger was Larry Kissell, a social-studies teacher who also spent 27 years in midlevel jobs in a hosiery mill. The Republican incumbent was Robin Hayes, a millionaire hosiery mill owner and descendent of one of the region’s founding families. Despite being outspent 3-to-1 and being cut off from support from party headquarters in Washington, Kissell managed to come within 329 votes of one of the year’s biggest upsets — and created the second-closest House race in the country.

This time around, Democrats are betting heavy — and betting early — on Kissell.

A House Committee approved a bill to distribute NC's electoral votes proportionally, according to the vote in each Congressional District.

Now if it was just retroactive to 2000, we would have had President Gore...

Among the details: Transfer tax included, top income tax rate cut included, sales tax hike made permanent and could go higher.

With the GOP in charge in the Senate, I guess this is the best we can expect...

fp by gf :)

Liddy is in some pretty weak company. Now if she just had an opponent...

www.cqpolitics.com/2007/01/ratings_chart_2008_senate_race.html

Ratings Chart: 2008 Senate Races

CQPolitics.com’s first roundup of the 2008 Senate races — with earliest-ever Election Forecaster ratings by the CQPolitics staff — is based on this increasingly irrefutable principle: the concept of the “off-election” year is now an anachronism for Senate incumbents and candidates.

Republican Seats (21)

No Clear Favorite

Colorado (Wayne Allard, retiring)

Leans Republican

Maine (Susan Collins)

Minnesota (Norm Coleman)

New Hampshire (John E. Sununu)

North Carolina (Elizabeth Dole)

Oregon (Gordon H. Smith)

Here are the votes on HR-4, Medicare Prescription Drug Price Negotiation Act.

The total votes were 255 votes "Yea," and 170 votes "No," which is 35 votes short of what it will take to override Bush's promised veto. Only Walter Jones crossed party lines on this one.

District 01 Butterfield, G K (D) - Yea
District 02 Etheridge, Bob (D) - Yea
District 03 Jones, Walter B Jr (R) - Yea
District 04 Price, David (D) - Yea
District 05 Foxx, Virginia (R) - No
District 06 Coble, Howard (R) - No
District 07 McIntyre, Mike (D) - Yea
District 08 Hayes, Robin (R) - No
District 09 Myrick, Sue (R) - No
District 10 McHenry, Patrick (R) - No
District 11 Shuler, Heath (D) - Yea
District 12 Watt, Melvin L (D) - Yea
District 13 Miller, Brad (D) - Yea

Once again, we see the Party of Greed following their marching orders from big pharma. If it's OK for the VA to negotiate lower drug prices, how can it not be OK for Medicare, too?

New Majority Watch polls (MoE 3.09%)have been released for Oct 24-26th showing:

Larry Kissell leads Robin Hayes 48-44 in NC-04, with 8% undecided.

Hayes' support is unchanged since the Oct 8-10 poll, while Kissell has has lost 3% to the 'Undecided' column.

Heath Shuler leads Chuck Taylor 53-44 in NC-11, with 3% undecided.

Taylor's support is also unchanged since the Oct 8-10 poll, while Shuler has picked up 1% from the 'Undecided' group.

www.majoritywatch.com/

Is 44% the ceiling for Hayes and Taylor? 2 weeks of ads, and they have no more support. It makes you wonder what a poll of NC-5 would look like...

www.newsobserver.com/114/story/502352.html

The N&O has poll results today for a variety of local issues, including the Durham DA race (Nifong will win), the Wake County school bonds (the bonds will fail), and general feelings about the state legislature, Congress, and other local issues. Interesting stuff.

Go here for video of Dole and Schumer

If you have 14 minutes (and are sitting down), go check out the video of Elizabeth Dole vs Chuck Shumer on Face the Nation this morning.

Dole says that if Democrats retake the Senate, it will be bad for the nations's security because we do not support the Patriot Act, missle defense, or warrantless wiretaps. I hope that is her 2008 platform - ought to play well here...

Hey Liddy - you don't need a warrant to find out what I think of you - you can read it right here on Blue NC, you brainless twit.

edit - not sure why link doesn't work. Video is on CBSNews.com in the Face the Nation section.

From Pollster.com

www.pollster.com/house.php#NC-08

Pollster/Source: Public Opinion Strategies (R)
N Pop: 400 LV
MoE 4.9
Dates 10/16-17/06
Larry Kissell (D) 33
Robin Hayes (R)* 49

Pollster/Source: RT Strategies/
Constituent Dynamics
N Pop: 1029 LV
MOE: 3.08
Dates: 10/8-10/06
Larry Kissell (D): 51
Robin Hayes (R): 44

Obviously, one of these is wrong. Was Robin's poll a push poll? Does the 4.9 margin of error make you look twice? I don't trust Hayes as far as I could throw him, so this poll looks mighty suspicious. Just the same, watch and see how much free press Hayes gets from it.

It would be a dark day for North Carolina if the GOP ever won control of the NC General Assembly. Want a preview of their intentions if it did happen? Read on, but brace yourself, it isn't pretty. Or surprising, since it is the usual GOP agenda based on GREED and FEAR.

In the Herald-Sun:

RALEIGH, N.C. -- Likely to be outspent in the November elections and hurt by negative opinions of their colleagues on Capitol Hill, state Senate Republicans on Tuesday unveiled their plans for what they will do if they win control of their chamber for the first time in a century.